Asia Pacific business leaders confidence hits three year high despite trade frictions

Stocks and Financial Services Press Releases Tuesday November 14, 2017 17:44
Bangkok--14 Nov--PwC Thailand
Confidence in revenue growth is at its highest level for three years amongst business leaders in 21 Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation's (APEC) economies.
37% of APEC CEOs are very confident of revenue growth during the next 12 months, up from 28% in 2016 despite trade policy uncertainty and related political tensions in many of the economies that make up APEC.
PwC surveyed over 1,400 business leaders with responsibility in each of the 21 APEC economies in the run up to the annual APEC CEO Summit in Vietnam.

In the next year, a net 50% of businesses surveyed by PwC will increase their global investments (including those outside the APEC region), up from 43% last year, as APEC businesses increase their foothold and influence on the global economy.

71% of those surveyed who are raising investment will direct those increases into APEC economies in 2018, and 63% of all APEC CEOs expect their broader global footprint to expand over the next three years.

The biggest domestic investment winners will be Vietnam, Russia, the Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia.Vietnam, China, Indonesia, the US and Thailand are the top APEC targets for business leaders' overseas investment. 89% of Malaysian CEOs and 86% of Viet Nam CEOs expect to expand globally.

Sira Intarakumthornchai, CEO for PwC Thailand, said business leaders see Thailand as one of the top five APEC economies that will receive increased cross-border investment over the next 12 months.
""This optimism is primarily reflected by Thailand's continuous efforts in implementing investment-friendly measures and policies, including amending any outdated laws to boost national competitiveness.
""The Thailand 4.0 roadmap to create a more valued-based, innovation-driven economy is also connecting Thailand with the world and making it one of the most preferred destinations for leaders to do business.""
Thailand's improving economic fundamentals, buoyed by a rebound in exports, a recovery in tourism and a steady rise in household consumption, also contributed to investor confidence, Sira said.

Economic growth in Southeast Asia's second-largest economy could accelerate after GDP expanded 3.7% year-on-year in the second quarter. In the first half of 2017, GDP registered a total growth of 3.5% year-on-year .

In the World Bank's Doing Business 2018: Reforming to Create Jobs report, Thailand moved up to 26th from the 46th last year among 190 countries worldwide. This also brought the country to the top three in ASEAN, after Singapore and Malaysia.

Bob Moritz, PwC Global Chairman comments, ""Business leaders' confidence suggests they are not waiting for the fog of uncertainty to clear to push ahead with investment plans. In the short term this will drive momentum for APEC, increasing its global influence and supporting deals activity with 71% of CEOs expecting to rely more on business partnerships/joint ventures in the future.

""CEOs' concerns about restrictive trade conditions, particularly the movement of labour and goods, has to be a key area of discussion for APEC leaders at the upcoming summit as it directly impacts competition and growth. 30% of business leaders want APEC, as a forum, to take the lead on exploring labour mobility solutions.

""The majority of business leaders are bullish for growth, and see APEC becoming more economically linked over time, with three quarters seeing slow current progress towards deepening economic integration. 31% of CEOs in the US say progress on free trade in Asia Pacific has stalled or reversed, compared to 18% across the region.""

In the survey almost a quarter of APEC CEOs admit they experienced a more restrictive trade environment, particularly focused around employing foreign labour (23%) or in moving goods across borders (19%).

In the near term, 30% expect labour restrictions to increase, and a quarter expect an increase in barriers on moving goods to increase in the next 12 months. Half of CEOs in Singapore, one of the world's global financial centres, admit they expect an increase in barriers to labour mobility in the next 12 months.

As a result, a majority of CEOs (71%) expect to rely more on business partnerships and joint ventures in response to changing trade environment, and 68% plan to increase business domestically, or in economies with bilateral ties.

The drive to perform on a regional level continues to increase, and transform the competitive landscape for business in the APEC economies. CEOs identified increased competition from leading regional businesses in APEC economies, and emerging economies for the third year in a row. Combined they now overtake competition from traditional developed economy multinationals.

19% believe their biggest competitor in the next three to five years will be a multinational from an emerging economy, or regional leaders in APEC economies (22%). Almost a third (32%) believe developed nation multinationals are their biggest rival, down from 41% in 2014.

With confidence increasing, perceptions of the opportunities for innovation-driven growth have improved, but business leaders' concern about their ability to secure the right skills to compete globally is increasing.

Automation is a key recurring theme in strategies for building the workforce of the future, with 58% automating certain functions, 40% investing in machine learning and emerging technologies, and 41% identifying workers are skilled at using new automation tools.

For ASEAN businesses, automation is high on the agenda, as the key building block in their strategy to develop a digital workforce.

Bob Moritz, PwC Global Chairman comments: ""APEC economies could be a test bed for the integration of automation with the workforce of tomorrow. Businesses know best what skills they need, and now public and private sectors need to work together to create practical ways to train, develop and access those skills.""


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